The Brigham Young Cougars have a really good defense. I am
sure of this. Ask Oregon State
fans, and they think the Beaver defense is just as good. That piqued my
interest, so I took a look at the numbers. After considerable analysis, I can’t
decide whether the numbers are legit or just smoke and mirrors.
First of all, there are only six statistical categories that
Oregon State's defense
caught my eye. After I took a closer look at these categories, I was still
impressed by only two. Whereas, for the BYU defense, there are at least eight
statistical categories that I find impressive no matter how the numbers are
twisted. Maybe that just means I am too BYU biased, maybe not.
The six categories that I found impressive on the surface
were as follows:
- Scoring Defense: 17.0 ppg (National Rank: 23)
- Rushing Defense: 67.25 ypg (4)
- Sacks: 2.5 per game (33)
- Interceptions: 1.75 per game (12)
- Passes defensed: 6.5 per game (12)
- Opponents 3rd down conversions: 20.41% (1)
Obviously, anytime a team is the best in the nation, that is
impressive, so the 20.41% opponents 3rd down conversions is
impressive. I also find it impressive anytime a defense is allowing less than
20 points per game, regardless of the national ranking.
The sacks, interceptions, and passes defensed lost their
luster when I realized that, in four games, Oregon
State ’s opponents have attempted
170 passes. That is an average of 43 pass attempts per game. It should be
expected that Oregon State
would be among the nation’s leaders in these categories with its opponents
preferring to pass.
Two of the four opponents were quite successful throwing the
ball. UCLA’s starting quarterback had 372 yards passing. Arizona
threw for over 400 yards against the Beavers.
It is hard not to be impressed by Oregon
State ’s rushing defense, but I have
reservations about how good they actually are. Oregon
State did hold Wisconsin
to 35 yards on 23 carries. While I will give the Beavers some credit for this
game, it is interesting to note the Badgers are just 91 in rushing
offense. Wisconsin struggled
to beat Utah State
and UTEP. This isn’t your same old Wisconsin offense.
It is also hard not to think that the rushing defense isn’t
a little inflated due to all the passing Oregon
State ’s opponents have done. It is
well known that Oregon State ’s
most recent opponent, Washington State ,
isn’t interested in running the ball. UCLA is ranked 22nd nationally
in rushing offense, but they fell behind Oregon
State 24-10 in the third quarter. That kind of forced
the Bruins to throw the ball, and with the success they had passing it wasn’t a
priority to run the ball well that game.
The Editor appreciates all feedback. He can be reached via email at bluecougarfootball@gmail.com
Really? You arent sure about a defense that has played legit teams? If you want to look at stats begin by looking at the strength of each team played. Most JC teams could beat up on Weber St and come out with inflated stats.
ReplyDeleteBYU has played 2 Pac 12 teams. Are they legit?
DeleteBoise State is ranked in the top 25, and tried to run the ball 40 times. None of Oregon State's opponents have attempted more than 28 rushes.
Utah State went to Wisconsin and should have won that game. They scored more points than the Beavers did against the Badgers.
Don't worry, Weber State didn't inflate BYU's defensive stats. Throw that game out and BYU improves in almost every category.
Well, I was trying to be nice, and left this out, but being 112th in pass defense doesn't sound legit, and allowing 355.8 yards per game doesn't scream "outstanding defense."
So, no I am not sure.