tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2021786907272420084.post2956344976134512856..comments2023-03-30T09:21:58.871-04:00Comments on BLUE COUGAR FOOTBALL: Doing Jake Heaps Justice: Is Heaps the Best Brigham Young Cougars Freshman Quarterback Ever?The Editorhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05077396611926905837noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2021786907272420084.post-43064006487872204632011-02-16T08:43:06.951-05:002011-02-16T08:43:06.951-05:00Yards per attempt is key for a great efficiency ra...Yards per attempt is key for a great efficiency rating. The other big advantage that Detmer had was TD passes per attempt. <br /><br />Detmer threw a touchdown once every 11.77 passes<br />Heaps threw a touchdown once every 25.5 passes<br /><br />If we removed each QBs TD passes from his freshman season stats, the pass efficiency rating changes accordingly:<br /><br />Detmer<br />138.0 w/TD passes<br />109.9 w/o TD passes<br /><br />Heaps<br />116.2 w/TD passes<br />103.3 w/o TD passes<br /><br />While everything else remained equal, one QB saw his rating fall 28 points while the other just 13 points. <br /><br />We can do the same with YPA. Give Heaps the 8.18 YPA and Detmer the 6.05 YPA, and keep everything else constant.<br /><br />Heaps' rating would go up to 134.1 (18 point increase). <br /><br />Detmer's rating would go down to 120.0 (18 point decrease).<br /><br />Based on these results, I think TD passes/attempt is the biggest factor in a QBs pass efficiency rating. However, I would agree with you that the most important stat for a QB is yards/attempt. <br /><br />Higher YPA = more first downs = better scoring chances. <br /><br />When it is 3rd down, completing a pass for 5 yards when you needed 7 for a first down is no better than missing on a pass 9 yards downfield. End result will usually be the same: punt.The Editorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05077396611926905837noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2021786907272420084.post-30569760359457726872011-02-15T16:45:30.320-05:002011-02-15T16:45:30.320-05:00How is the efficiency rating gap so wide when Heap...How is the efficiency rating gap so wide when Heaps has a superior TD:INT and better completion %. It shows that the efficiency rating is slanted towards the one stat that I personally think is the most important: yards/attempt. Detmer was > 8 and Heaps was at 6 yards/attempt. The bottom line is Detmer threw downfield more than Heaps and had a better receiving corp. Because of that, I give the nod to Detmer, but knowing how Jake would've done under Detmer's circumstances and with Detmer's teamates and vice versa is pure speculation.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2021786907272420084.post-50505667350217395022011-02-15T16:31:39.930-05:002011-02-15T16:31:39.930-05:00Thanks for the comment. You raise a good point. Ho...Thanks for the comment. You raise a good point. However, I try to stay away from "what if's"<br /><br />I agree that the receivers seemed to drop many more passes than usual this year. The problem is, we don't have official stats on dropped passes. So we can't difinitively quantify how many more there were and how that may have altered each QBs stats. More importantly, no astrisks are added to game scores for dropped passes.<br /><br />I don't think Detmer would have had the big numbers projected if he had played as much as Heaps did. Those are there to help better illustrate how significant of a difference a 138 rating is than a 116, not to present a "what if" scenario.The Editorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05077396611926905837noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2021786907272420084.post-76816588787499569312011-02-15T16:22:09.971-05:002011-02-15T16:22:09.971-05:00What about all the balls that receivers dropped? H...What about all the balls that receivers dropped? Heaps was extremely accurate, and his numbers would have been much better if our receivers would have caught the ball consistently.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com